Death rate, crude (per 1,000 people)
Death rate, crude (per 1,000 people)
Event_Log
012020COVID-19 declared a pandemicAssociation
WHO declaration triggers synchronized global lockdowns, an oil-demand collapse (WTI briefly trades negative on 20 April 2020), and unprecedented fiscal/monetary stimulus across every country in this database.
Why this link: The crude death rate, on a smooth decades-long secular decline and sitting at a series-low 4.66 per 1,000 in 2019, jumped to 6.44 (2020) and 6.39 (2021) -- a roughly 37% spike -- before reverting to 4.90 (2022) and 4.75 (2023): a textbook excess-mortality signature of the pandemic imposed on an otherwise flat, mature mortality trend.
Caveat: None substantial -- the sharp, temporary, fully-reverting nature of this spike against a very smooth prior trend makes this one of the cleanest single-event signatures in the whole database.
Lag: immediate, 2020-2021Source: World Health Organization
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