نرخ مرگ‌ومیر بزرگسالان، به تفکیک جنسیت (به ازای هر 1,000 بزرگسال)_

رویدادها

1. 01۱۹۸۰Iran-Iraq War beginsقوت ارتباط

   Eight-year war (1980-1988) imposes massive fiscal costs, disrupts oil exports, and entrenches a rationing/coupon system for basic goods.

   چرایی این پیوند: Male adult mortality jumped from 299.0 per 1,000 (1979) to 336.1 (1980) to a peak of 429.8 (1981, +43.7% vs. 1979) before declining again -- while FEMALE adult mortality over the identical years moved from 239.7 (1979) to 232.4 (1980) to 233.2 (1981), showing no comparable spike. This male-only jump, concentrated exactly in the war's opening years, is a clean demographic signature of combat/military-age-male casualties rather than a broader public-health deterioration that would have hit both sexes.

   ملاحظه: WDI's adult-mortality series for this period is itself model-based (interpolated between Iran's bracketing censuses), so the precise year-to-year shape should be read as indicative of the broad pattern rather than a precise annual body count.

   تأخیر اثر: immediate, 1979-1981منبع: Encyclopaedia Britannica
2. 02۲۰۲۰COVID-19 declared a pandemicقوت ارتباط

   WHO declaration triggers synchronized global lockdowns, an oil-demand collapse (WTI briefly trades negative on 20 April 2020), and unprecedented fiscal/monetary stimulus across every country in this database.

   چرایی این پیوند: Unlike the war-era shock above, this spike hit BOTH sexes: male adult mortality rose from 116.0 (2019) to 142.5 (2020) to 156.9 (2021, +35.3% cumulative) while female adult mortality rose from 61.3 to 79.1 to 98.0 (+59.8% cumulative) over the same years, before both series fell sharply in 2022-2023 -- the expected gender-symmetric signature of a shared disease shock, a useful contrast against the gender-asymmetric, male-only 1980-81 war-era spike in the row above.

   ملاحظه: None substantial -- the gender-symmetric pattern here is itself a confirming contrast against the gender-asymmetric war-era row, reinforcing that both readings reflect real, mechanism-consistent signals rather than data noise.

   تأخیر اثر: immediate, 2020-2021منبع: World Health Organization